SGX Market Updates

Steady STI Trading Reflects Smooth Economic Landing Focus

SGX
Publish date: Thu, 22 Aug 2024, 02:51 PM
  • Global focus on key economic indicators for a smooth US landing has led to four stable STI sessions with a 40-point range and 1.8% gain, as markets look to the US August unemployment report on 6 Sep and potential Fed Funds Rate cut on 18 Sep.
     
  • Institutions have also been net buyers over the 4 sessions, with S$171 million of net inflow, led by Financials, REITs, and SATS. The global air cargo champion reported a turnaround 1QFY25 net profit of S$65 million on 20 Aug, while also expecting positive momentum in the coming quarters.
     
  • Beyond STI constituents, stocks that contributed to the net 4-session institutional inflow included Lendlease Global REIT, NetLink NBN Trust, iFAST Corp, Keppel DC REIT, CLINT, Suntec REIT & Nam Cheong. On 13 Aug, Nam Cheong reported 1HFY24 NPAT of RM 635.8 million, up from RM 31.7 million in 1HFY23, primarily due to the waiver of debts.
     

The global focus on key economic indicators for a smooth landing in the US has resulted in four stable sessions for the STI, with a 40-point range and a 1.8% gain. Key events in September include the US August unemployment report, due on 6 Sep. If the unemployment rate remains near the 4.3% level seen in July, or is reported to be higher, it will likely lead to a 25bps Fed Funds Rate cut on 18 Sep. Currently, the CME FedWatch Tool shows two-thirds of the market expecting a 25bps rate cut, and one-third expecting a 50bps rate cut. These expectations have remained unchanged over the past four sessions. 

The 1.8% 4-session STI gain coincided with S$171 million of net institutional inflow. Some of this flow can be attributed to the local earnings season which is drawing to close. As much as S$28 million of the 4-session S$171 million combined net inflow was generated by SATS on 21 August, with the stock also trading 10x its usual average daily turnover. This followed SATS reporting a turnaround 1QFY25 PATMI of S$65.0 million compared to a loss of S$29.9 million in 1QFY24. SATS attributed the turnaround to higher business volumes and a one-off gain of S$7.2 million from a loan settlement with an outgoing local partner in Indonesia. SATS’ Management noted with the continuing aviation recovery and increased air cargo volume handled, it expects positive momentum in the coming quarters. SATS has now booked the sixth highest bet institutional net inflows in the local stock market in the year-to-date, after Singapore Telecommunications, United Overseas Bank, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding. 

By Sector, it was Financial Services and REITs that booked the most net institutional inflow over the four sessions. The 30 stocks that booked the highest net institutional inflows over the four sessions are tabled below. 

Non-STI Stocks with Highest NIF on Aug 16,19 20,21.CodeMkt Cap S$M4-day Px Return %4-day NIF S$MYTD Px Chg %YTD NIF S$MSector
DBSD05101,7632.9         63.53 18-412.2Financial Services
SGXS6811,3283.7         45.86 8118.2Financial Services
SATSS585,36712.2         26.16 31126.4Industrials
UOBU1151,3322.2         21.22 8407.8Financial Services
Jardine C&CC0710,9094.5         15.53 -7-73.6Consumer Cyclicals
OCBC BankO3964,4632.3         13.77 10150.0Financial Services
Mapletree Ind TrME8U6,7483.9         13.47 -5-85.8REITs
ST EngineeringS6314,2170.0         11.97 17176.8Industrials
Frasers Cpt TrJ69U4,2352.2           7.42 40.4REITs
CapLand Ascendas REITA17U12,2683.3           5.57 -8-124.3REITs
CapitaLandInvest9CI12,8872.8           4.50 -18-125.1Financial Services
KeppelBN411,0893.9           3.57 -13-95.1Industrials
Lendlease REITJYEU1,3315.7           3.45 -13-17.9REITs
Seatrium 5E24,8990.7           3.37 -39-279.5Industrials
Mapletree PanAsia Com TrN2IU6,8344.8           3.16 -17-150.3REITs
SingtelZ7448,384-3.0           2.96 19616.7Telecommunications
NetLink NBN TrCJLU3,4102.3           2.74 4-22.6Telecommunications
IFASTAIY2,1691.5           2.71 -1113.8Technology (Hardware/ Software)
Keppel DC REITAJBU3,5841.5           1.65 7-11.7REITs
CapLand India TCY6U1,4610.0           1.59 -4-3.6REITs
Suntec REITT82U3,4962.6           1.35 -213.0REITs
DFIRG USDD013,3890.9           1.18 -21-14.5Consumer Non-Cyclicals
ThaiBevY9212,3133.2           1.02 -751.2Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Nam Cheong1MZ1205.2           1.01 -24-7.2Industrials
CapLand Ascott TrustHMN3,3512.9           1.00 -11-75.0REITs
SIA EngineeringS592,5931.8           0.82 -34.4Industrials
PARAGONREITSK6U2,5432.9           0.77 17.2REITs
NanofilmMZH4590.0           0.71 -23-24Technology (Hardware/ Software)
Emperador Inc.EMI6,8450.0           0.70 -18-2Consumer Non-Cyclicals
JapfaUD27031.5           0.69 572Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Note NIF refers to Net Institutional Inflow, ADT refers to Average Daily Turnover, All Data as of 21 August 2024, Source: SGX

Beyond the STI constituents, stocks that contributed the most to the net institutional inflow over the four sessions included Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, NetLink NBN Trust, iFAST Corporation, Keppel DC REIT, CapitaLand India Trust, Suntec REIT and Nam Cheong  as tabled below.

Non-STI Stocks with Highest NIF on Aug 16,19 20,21.CodeMkt Cap S$M4-day Px Return %4-day NIF S$MYTD Px Chg %YTD NIF S$MYTD ADT S$MSector
Lendlease REITJYEU1,3315.7   3.45 -13-17.92.6REITs
NetLink NBN TrCJLU3,4102.3   2.74 4-22.63.3Telecommunications
IFASTAIY2,1691.5   2.71 -1113.84.0Technology (Hardware/ Software)
Keppel DC REITAJBU3,5841.5   1.65 7-11.711.0REITs
CapLand India TCY6U1,4610.0   1.59 -4-3.62.5REITs
Suntec REITT82U3,4962.6   1.35 -213.08.8REITs
Nam Cheong1MZ1205.2   1.01 -24-7.20.6Industrials
CapLand Ascott THMN3,3512.9   1.00 -11-75.05.1REITs
SIA EngineeringS592,5931.8   0.82 -34.40.6Industrials
PARAGON REITSK6U2,5432.9   0.77 17.20.7REITs
NanofilmMZH4590.0   0.71 -23-243.8Technology (Hardware/ Software)
Emperador Inc.EMI6,8450.0   0.70 -18-20.6Consumer Non-Cyclicals
JapfaUD27031.5   0.69 5720.5Consumer Non-Cyclicals
First ResourcesEB52,2152.1   0.54 031.7Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Far East HTrustQ5T1,2672.4   0.49 -5-100.9REITs
Man Oriental USDM042,673-1.2   0.41 320.1Consumer Cyclicals
First REITAW9U5320.0   0.40 -4-20.3REITs
Prime US REIT USDOXMU301-4.5   0.39 -20-41.2REITs
YZJ Fin HldgYF81,2121.5   0.38 6191.9Financial Services
OUE REITTS0U1,5655.6   0.38 0-10.6REITs
KepPacOak REIT USDCMOU3270.9   0.37 -37-151.2REITs
Best WorldCGN1,070-0.4   0.37 45111.2Consumer Cyclicals
HPH Trust USDNS8U1,4440.3   0.35 -15-60.9Industrials
Keppel REITK71U3,2651.8   0.31 -8-246.2REITs
Bumitama AgriP8Z1,2230.0   0.28 1780.4Consumer Non-Cyclicals
CSE Global544315-2.2   0.27 621.0Technology (Hardware/ Software)
ValueMaxT6I4045.8   0.26 4210.0Consumer Cyclicals
DigiCore REIT USDDCRU1,0272.1   0.24 -762.3REITs
RevezRCU110.0   0.24 -7100.0Technology (Hardware/ Software)
The Hour GlassAGS9921.3   0.23 -8-60.4Consumer Cyclicals

Note NIF refers to Net Institutional Inflow, ADT refers to Average Daily Turnover, All Data as of 21 August 2024, Source: SGX

On 13 Aug, Nam Cheong reported 1HFY24 NPAT of RM 635.8 million, up from RM 31.7 million in 1HFY23, primarily due to the waiver of debts. At the same time, the global offshore marine group noted its business recovery is gathering pace with revenue growing 56% from 1HFY23 to RM 312.0 million for 1HFY24. Since its humble beginnings in 1968 building only fishing vessels, the Group is now Malaysia’s largest Offshore Support Vessels (OSV) builder, owning and operating one of the largest shipbuilding yards for OSVs in Malaysia. The Nam Cheong CEO noted with the results that the Group's performance continues to improve, driven by higher daily charter rates and increased utilisation of larger vessels, adding that with one of the youngest and largest fleets in the region, the Group is well-positioned to capitalise on the sustained demand in the O&G market.

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